Thinking ยท How to Think

Logic puzzle:

Three doors. One puppy. The math is sneakier than your gut.

Behind one door is a puppy. Behind the others, broccoli. You pick a door. Then a friend who knows what's behind each door opens one of the OTHER doors โ€” and shows you broccoli. Now they ask: do you want to switch your pick to the last unopened door, or stay? Almost everyone says it's 50/50. It isn't.

1 min read
OK fine, what's the answer? โ†“

Switch! Your friend's clue secretly told you a lot โ€” they were never going to open the puppy door. So they basically pointed at the prize. Switching wins 2 out of 3 times.

Talk About It Tonight

Why does our brain say 50/50 here, when math says it isn't?

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